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What's Behind the Cape Rally? - new Marsoft Beat episode released

December 8, 2025 1 min
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What's Behind the Cape Rally? - new Marsoft Beat episode released

Podcast episode analyzing the Capesize rally above $40,000/day. Kevin Hazel and Ryan Uljua discuss Brazilian long-haul iron ore strength, West Africa's rising iron ore role, China's paradox of lower steel production but higher iron ore imports, and Red Sea normalization outlook.

Capes above $40,000/day — what's behind the breakout?

In the latest episode of The Marsoft Beat, Kevin Hazel sits down with Ryan Uljua to unpack the remarkable rally in the largest dry bulk segment.

They cover:

  • Brazilian long-haul iron ore strength
  • West Africa's rising iron ore role...even before Simandou ramps up
  • China's "steel production down, iron ore imports up" paradox
  • How 2025 has tracked along Marsoft's early-year "High Case" scenario
  • Our latest read on Red Sea normalization
  • Supply fundamentals setup heading into 2026

If you're watching dry bulk or commodity flows, this is one you don't want to miss.

Listen on Spotify or via our website.

Recorded on December 5, 2025.

Key Insights

  • Capesize rates above $40,000/day
  • Brazilian long-haul iron ore driving strength
  • West Africa's iron ore role rising before Simandou ramp-up
  • China paradox: steel production down, iron ore imports up
  • 2025 tracking Marsoft's early-year 'High Case' scenario
  • Red Sea normalization impact being monitored
Capesize ratesIron ore tradeBrazil exportsWest Africa iron oreSimandouChina steel productionRed Sea normalizationDry bulk supplyThe Marsoft Beat podcast
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