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LPG Rates Waning as We Enter 2023

January 18, 2023 1 min
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VLGC spot rates soared to $125k+/day in Q4 2022 on Asian/European demand, then slid in December to $55-60k/day. Marsoft had predicted temporary spike then decline as arbitrage diminished. Sharp pullback reflects cyclical LPG market.

The piece discusses the sharp decline in liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) shipping rates as 2023 began.

VLGC spot rates soared to new highs above $125,000 per day in the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by robust demand in Asian and European markets.

However, the market experienced a significant reversal. VLGC rates began to slide in December and have been decreasing ever since, currently marked at around $55-60,000 per day.

Marsoft had anticipated this correction, having predicted in their Q4 2022 report that rates would spike temporarily before declining as arbitrage opportunities diminished. The sharp pullback from peak pricing to roughly half those levels represents a notable market shift in the early months of 2023.

This volatility reflects the cyclical nature of global LPG shipping markets, where seasonal demand patterns and trading spreads significantly influence rate movements.

Key Insights

  • VLGC rates hit $125k+/day in Q4 2022
  • Rates dropped to $55-60k/day by January 2023
  • Marsoft predicted temporary spike then decline
  • Arbitrage opportunities diminished
  • Cyclical market reflects seasonal patterns
LPGVLGCSpot ratesAsian demandEuropean demandArbitrageMarket cycles
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