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Super-Cycle? What Drives the Containership Markets?

September 17, 2021 1 min
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Paradox: fleet capacity expanded faster than trade 2019-2021, yet insufficient capacity to meet demand. Record freight rates, elevated charter rates, unprecedented port congestion, extended waiting times, unaccommodated cargo.

The piece examines an apparent paradox in container shipping: despite fleet capacity expanding faster than trade volumes during 2019-2021, there remains insufficient vessel capacity to meet demand.

Key Observations:

The article references several market phenomena:

  • Record-high liner freight rates
  • Elevated charter rate levels
  • Unprecedented port congestion
  • Extended vessel waiting times at port entrances
  • Cargo unable to be accommodated aboard existing ships

Critical Question:

The author poses the central question of why, during a period when the industry added ships faster than demand grew, the market still faces acute capacity shortages.

The analysis examines what factors are driving the containership super-cycle despite the apparent supply-demand imbalance.

Key Insights

  • Fleet grew faster than trade
  • Still insufficient capacity
  • Record freight rates
  • Unprecedented port congestion
ContainersSuper-cyclePort congestionFreight ratesCostas Bardjis
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