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LNG Prices: How High Will They Go?

October 7, 2021 1 min
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LNG spot cargoes reached ~$30/mmBtu (vs $5/mmBtu year prior). JKM and European futures projected above $35/mmBtu by January 2022. Driven by robust demand, depleted inventories, restricted supply.

The article discusses unprecedented record highs in LNG (liquefied natural gas) pricing across European and Asian markets.

Pricing Data:

  • Spot LNG cargoes reached approximately $30/mmBtu (compared to $5/mmBtu one year prior)
  • Japan/Korea Marker and European futures projected prices could peak above $35/mmBtu by January 2022

Root Causes:

The article attributes these dramatic increases to three interconnected factors:

  • Robust demand
  • Depleted inventory levels
  • Restricted supply availability across both regions as the northern hemisphere entered winter months

Market Context:

This represented a significant departure from historical pricing patterns, driven by seasonal demand pressures and supply constraints affecting major LNG consuming regions during peak heating season.

The analysis suggests these elevated prices were likely temporary, tied to seasonal winter demand patterns typical in northern hemisphere markets during colder months.

Key Insights

  • LNG spot at $30/mmBtu (6x year prior)
  • Projected above $35/mmBtu by Jan 2022
  • Robust demand and depleted inventories
  • Restricted supply across regions
LNGPricingAsiaEuropeWinter demandMegan Kennedy
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