Market Analysis and Forecasting | Risk Evaluation | Portfolio Management | Strategy Development


Strategy Development

 

Marsoft has worked closely with decision makers across the shipping industry for more than 25 years. In our experience, company strategies are as varied as the companies themselves, but they all have one critical factor in common; they depend heavily on a thorough understanding of corporate market exposure.

 

It follows that, for any corporate strategy to have value, it is critical to continuously measure the aggregated market exposure inherited in a portfolio of shipping investments and to understand and predict the cyclical markets these investments are exposed to.

 

Marsoft has unique expertise in capturing and benchmarking diverse shipping related portfolios and offer best practice solutions to our clients. We offer detailed insight to key cyclical drivers of shipping markets and ensure maximum leverage of internal market information.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cycle Management

Commodity shipping markets are highly cyclical by nature and charter rates and vessel values can change dramatically when cycles turn. Over time we have seen many fortunes been made and lost due to rapid and unexpected cyclical changes and we strongly recommend all industry players to include active cycle management as a critical foundation for their broader strategy.

 

Active cycle management requires close monitoring and interpretation of regional macro economic developments and their impact on the flow of the main seaborne commodities.  Combining the macro and trade picture with a clear understanding of fleet growth will provide a solid basis for evaluating potential changes in the shipping environment and how rates and prices may be affected in the short and longer term.

 

In a market as complex and dynamic as shipping keeping focus on the critical market drivers is a challenging task and one in which the details can easily overwhelm the big picture. Marsoft offer flexible solutions for integrating ongoing cycle management into broader shipping strategies depending on specific client needs.

 

 

Super Retainer

Given the current global financial meltdown and the devastating effects on the shipping industry, Marsoft has launched a brand new service to ensure our clients have the best possible procedures and processes in place to see and act upon threats and opportunities.

 

Our goal is to enable clients to make rational decisions on entry and exit strategies based on their current portfolio and the direction of the underlying markets. The service is tailored to support each client’s ongoing needs and ambition and will focus on the critical success factors in the market.

 

In close interaction with the client we discuss and conclude on key topics:

  • Establish a long term perspective and define a normal range in which rates and values will fluctuate over time.
  • Close monitoring and interpretation of global and regional macro economic developments and key implications for seaborne trade.
  • Shipbuilding market and implications of limited capital available to owners and yards.
  • Comparative analysis across shipping markets
  • Scenario building sessions and interpretation

 

Based on the clients need and preference, Marsoft designs an ongoing service to monitor market key drivers and provide continuous market evaluation on key ship types.

 

 

 

Investment & Risk Management Seminar

 

 

Recent Strategic Work 

 

LNG Transportation

Marsoft has developed and implemented a strategic plan for acquisition and operation of a fleet of large LNG carriers. The assignment was initiated by an international energy company bidding for participation in a new gas field. Key goals were to ensure security and regularity of cargo movements at lowest possible cost and to anchor the strategy within the organization.

 

Liner Pricing & Strategy

Marsoft’s client operates a liner service in a regulated US domestic trade. Marsoft was retained to help evaluate the costs and profitability of each segment of their business and to develop a strategy to shift their business to a fully containerized mode. Compatibility with regulatory pricing and reporting requirements was (and is) a critical consideration. One component of the project was a “cost of service” model by cargo category to determine profitability by line of business which was used to support revisions to its client’s published tariff schedules; Marsoft developed the model and supported regulatory validation. An assessment of the cost savings of containerization, the impact on profitability and investment requirement was developed to support the containerization strategy

 

Special Projects

Strategic analysis and advice for divestment of a fleet of dry bulk carriers:  Proposed a divestment strategy for Marsoft’s client to time the divestment of twelve vessels in a way that maximizes the client’s return. Scope of work included a risk assessment of timing and exit strategy, sensitivity of fleet valuation to market scenarios, and development of alternative strategies. The project included a comprehensive strategy evaluation with recommendations followed by quarterly reviews and updates to the strategy throughout the divestment period.

 

For more information about Marsoft consulting services please contact our offices in London, Singapore, Oslo or Boston.